Increase in House Repossessions If Interest Rates Rise to 0.5%
The Bank of England increased interest rates to 0.25% from the historical low of 0.1% on December 16 2021. Just a month later, however, economists are now expecting the Bank of England to raise interest rates to 0.5% at the next Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting. The result: home repossessions are likely to double.
Interest Rates on the Rise
Interest rate rises are typically used as a tool to tackle inflation. The reasoning for this is as follows:
- When interest rates, people and businesses will opt to save and be less likely to take out loans.
- This is because their returns from savings will be higher, whilst it will cost them more to borrow.
- In turn, with less disposable income being spent, the economy slows, demand reduces, and inflation decreases.
Whilst discussing the prospect of rising interest rates, Paul Dales, Chief UK Economist at Capital Economics, stated: “The labour market appears to have remained tight both after the end of the furlough scheme and the start of the Omicron wave, which supports our view that interest rates will be raised from 0.25% to 0.50% on 3rd February.”
Simon French, Chief Economist at Panmure, hinted that a 0.5% interest rate increase would be the first in a series of rises. He said: “With UK inflation likely to peak around 7% in Q2, and global energy prices remaining high, the Bank of England is likely to retrace the path back to pre-pandemic interest rates of 0.75%. What happens next though is far less clear with a squeeze on real incomes.”
House Repossessions on the Rise
Further interest rate rises will trigger an affordability crunch and a spike in house repossessions; in fact, Capital Economics has forecasted that it could trigger the largest spike in house repossessions in 7 years. Over 12,000 people are projected to lose their homes by June 2022 if interest rates are increased to 0.5% next month.
Andrew Wishart, a Property Economist at Capital Economics, said: “There’s no doubt previous increases in the Bank Rate have been a critical driver of housing market downturns. We expect further house price growth in the near term but a rise in mortgage rates should put the brakes on from the second half of next year.”
Stop House Repossession Now
Whilst the current economic situation may feel bleak, HMS are here to provide struggling homeowners with hope.
If you are currently facing eviction or struggling with monthly mortgage payments, contact us immediately so that we can help stop the repossession of your home. Our experienced and compassionate team at HMS is dedicated to finding a solution to your problem. Click here to get started or call 0808 109 3559 for free advice.